December 2025 US Employment Report: Hiring Cools, Unemployment Falls
December’s US labour market report pointed to the pace of hiring having cooled, but unemployment also declining, as the year drew to a close. The Fed are now likely to stand pat at the end of the month, but further cuts remain on the cards this year.
Trump’s $200B MBS Purchase Plan: Short-Term Housing Rally, Long-Term Risks Amplified
Trump’s Bold MBS Move: Lower mortgage rates may temporarily boost housing and markets, but systemic risks and execution uncertainty remain.
Geopolitical Risk in 2026 Is Rising and Markets May Be Underpricing It
We are only nine days into 2026, yet the pace and scale of geopolitical developments already suggest a material shift in the global risk landscape.
Neutral Rate Revisited: Markets May Be Pricing the Fed Wrong
Revisiting the Fed’s neutral rate through history and balance sheet dynamics challenges the case for a higher terminal rate and argues for a longer, deeper easing cycle, and thus a more supportive backdrop for risk than the market may currently price.
Q4 25 US Bank Earnings: By The Numbers
Fourth quarter earnings season will soon be underway with, as usual, major Wall Street banks kicking things off.
A Look Ahead To Q4 25 US Earnings Season
With the S&P 500 priced for near-perfection, Q4 earnings season will test a key pillar of the equity bull case. Banks, Big Tech, and AI capex plans are firmly in focus.
Venezuela after the capture of Nicolás Maduro: implications for oil, emerging markets and the global order
Recent developments in Venezuela have brought the country back into focus for global financial markets, raising critical questions around oil supply, emerging market risk premia and geopolitical stability in Latin America. While the immediate effects on crude prices appear contained, the episode adds a new layer of uncertainty that may influence capital flows, investor sentiment and long-term market expectations. This report explores the potential scenarios ahead and their implications for oil markets, Venezuela and the global order.
Preview For The December 2025 US Jobs Report
The impact of last year's deferred layoff program has likely now entirely fed through the data.
Gold Outlook: Geopolitical Risks Lift Safe-Haven Demand, Non-Farm Payrolls in Focus
Geopolitical tensions have boosted gold’s safe-haven demand. This week, gold eyes the key $4,400 level, with upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payroll and PMI data likely to influence its early 2026 moves.
How to Trade Bitcoin in 2026: From Bullish Myths to Rational Strategies
As single narratives start to lose their power, Bitcoin is being repriced. In 2026, Bitcoin is no longer just an asset for directional bets—it has become a test of timing, position management, and patience.
How to Trade Gold in 2026: A Higher Price Anchor Under Structural Support
Gold Outlook for 2026: Ongoing central bank buying, shifts in the dollar and interest rates, geopolitics, and ETF flows continue to underpin prices. The price anchor is likely to move higher—while rational and flexible positioning remains key.
December 2025 ECB Review: Nothing To See Here
To nobody’s surprise, the ECB’s Governing Council stood pat at this year’s final policy meeting, strengthening the idea that the easing cycle is done & dusted, and seeking not to ‘rock the boat’ before the Christmas break.
How to Trade China in 2026: Focus on Policy Guidance and Sector Divergence
China Market Outlook 2026: Policies Target Domestic Demand and Technology, Hong Kong and Mainland Markets May Diverge, Traders Can Track Select Sectors and Tactical Opportunities.
Oracle’s AI Ambitions Face Funding Pressure as Data Center Plans Come Under Scrutiny
Oracle is entering a critical phase in its AI driven growth story where the scale of its data center ambitions is colliding with tighter financing conditions. Recent funding uncertainty around its Michigan project has sharpened investor focus on Oracle’s balance sheet, execution risk and its ability to convert a massive AI backlog into revenue and cash flow.
Gold Outlook: Volatility Rises as US Data and Central Banks Take Spotlight
Supported by a weaker dollar, continued central bank buying, and geopolitical risks, gold surged past $4,300, though hawkish Fed voices capped short-term gains. This week’s US jobs and CPI releases, along with global central bank rate decisions, could amplify year-end gold volatility, making risk management critical for traders.
Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook - Nonfarm Payrolls, US CPI, Central Banks & the Year-End Liquidity Test
Markets enter the final trading week of 2025 with US nonfarm payrolls, CPI, and five G10 central bank meetings in focus. A trader’s playbook on liquidity, bond yields, equities, and volatility risks into year-end.
Oracle Earnings Miss: Rising Capex, Weak Cash Flow and Higher CDS Spark Investor Concerns
Trader Takeouts and Market Reaction- Pepperstone’s 24-hour Oracle share CFDs are down 11.8% to $196.74 in post-market trade following the earnings release.
December 2025 FOMC Review: A Hawkish Cut
The FOMC delivered a third straight cut at the December meeting, as expected, though Chair Powell sought to set a higher bar for further reductions moving forwards.