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Gold Outlook: Repeated Geopolitical Swings Keep Gold Awaiting a Breakout
Gold Outlook: Repeated Geopolitical Swings Keep Gold Awaiting a Breakout

Gold remains range-bound at elevated levels amid shifting expectations around geopolitical risks and Fed’s policy path. Traders are closely watching shipping conditions in the Strait of Hormuz, the expiration of the ceasefire agreement, and incoming US economic data, while awaiting a key breakout signal in the $4,850–$4,900 range.

April 2026 FOMC Preview: Still In ‘Wait & See’ Mode As Powell’s Departure Nears
April 2026 FOMC Preview: Still In ‘Wait & See’ Mode As Powell’s Departure Nears

The FOMC are set to hold all policy settings steady at the conclusion of the April meeting, remaining in ‘wait and see’ mode amid a fragile labour market backdrop, and an uncertain inflationary outlook as a result of conflict in the Middle East.

Netflix Q1 26 Earnings Review: Solid Results, Weak Guidance, Valuation Enters Repricing
Netflix Q1 26 Earnings Review: Solid Results, Weak Guidance, Valuation Enters Repricing

Netflix Q1 2026 revenue and earnings beat expectations, although EPS was largely driven by one-off gains. Softer Q2 guidance and no full-year upgrade are prompting a reassessment of growth momentum, weighing on the stock in after-hours trading.

Q1 26 ‘Magnificent Seven’ Earnings Preview
Q1 26 ‘Magnificent Seven’ Earnings Preview

First quarter earnings season is now well underway. With the big banks having reported largely solid results, focus now turns to other sectors, with the tech sector soon to be in the spotlight, as the ‘Magnificent Seven’ get set to deliver first quarter figures.

Equities Price An End To Middle East Conflict, But Sector Dispersion Persists
Equities Price An End To Middle East Conflict, But Sector Dispersion Persists

While the S&P 500 has now erased losses seen since the start of conflict in the Middle East, less than half of the index’s sectors have done the same, suggesting significant room for select areas of the market to play ‘catch up’.

Gold Outlook: Tug-of-War Continues, Geopolitics and Earnings in Focus
Gold Outlook: Tug-of-War Continues, Geopolitics and Earnings in Focus

The breakdown in U.S.–Iran negotiations has lifted risk premiums and inflation expectations, limiting gold’s upside potential. However, growth slowdown pricing and sustained central bank buying continue to provide support.

Markets Say "Could Be Worse" On News Of Hormuz Blockade
Markets Say "Could Be Worse" On News Of Hormuz Blockade

While crude has advanced, and stocks slipped a touch, the overall market reaction to the weekend news of a US Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been relatively contained, as participants view the move largely as a negotiating gambit from President Trump.

US Earnings Season Kicks Off: Geopolitical Risk Drives Pricing, Three Key Sectors in Focus
US Earnings Season Kicks Off: Geopolitical Risk Drives Pricing, Three Key Sectors in Focus

Q1 2026 US earnings season begins against a backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty shaping market pricing. Banks, technology, and energy emerge as key sectors to watch, with attention on earnings quality, capital expenditure, and the impact of energy supply shocks.

Q1 26 Energy Earnings Preview
Q1 26 Energy Earnings Preview

In light of the recent surge in energy prices, and amid the ongoing disruption caused as a result of conflict in the Middle East, earnings, and associated commentary, from energy majors, will be a key focus for market participants in the upcoming Q1 26 earnings season.

March 2026 US CPI: The Energy Shock Arrives
March 2026 US CPI: The Energy Shock Arrives

March’s US CPI report provided the first evidence as to the inflationary impact of higher energy prices, stemming from conflict in the Middle East, though the near-term policy implications of the data are likely lacking.

Q1 26 US Bank Earnings Preview
Q1 26 US Bank Earnings Preview

As is typically the case, the major Wall St banks will kick-off Q1 26 earnings season, with Goldman Sachs getting things underway on Monday 13th April.

Markets Seek To Move Past Geopolitics Amid Fragile US-Iran Ceasefire
Markets Seek To Move Past Geopolitics Amid Fragile US-Iran Ceasefire

A fragile ceasefire has triggered a broad risk-on rally across asset classes, exacerbated by bearish positioning being squeezed, with participants potentially now seeking to move past geopolitics as a narrative, as focus turns to the economic impact of the conflict, as well as the upcoming Q1 reporting season.

Middle East Ceasefire Agreed – Quick Thoughts
Middle East Ceasefire Agreed – Quick Thoughts

Initial thoughts on President Trump suspending attacks on Iran for two weeks, with a ceasefire agreed contingent on the Strait of Hormuz now re-opening.

Gold Outlook: Geopolitics and Rate Expectations Drive Price Action, $4,660 as Key Pivot
Gold Outlook: Geopolitics and Rate Expectations Drive Price Action, $4,660 as Key Pivot

Amid uncertain geopolitical developments and a hawkish shift in rate expectations, gold volatility has risen, with $4,660 potentially serving as a short-term pivot. This week, traders will closely monitor Middle East developments, the FOMC minutes, and March U.S. CPI data, which could steer near-term gold movements.

A Look Ahead To Q1 26 US Earnings Season
A Look Ahead To Q1 26 US Earnings Season

Earnings season will soon be upon us once more and, while conflict in the Middle East continues to pre-occupy market participants for the most part, corporate commentary and guidance will nonetheless prove instructive, both in terms of how firms are dealing with increased cost pressures, and how consumer demand is holding up amid heightened uncertainty.

March 2026 US Employment Report: Chunky Headline Beat But Geopolitical Uncertainty Presents Downside Risks
March 2026 US Employment Report: Chunky Headline Beat But Geopolitical Uncertainty Presents Downside Risks

Payrolls growth massively beat expectations in March, with unemployment unexpectedly declining too, though ongoing conflict in the Middle East, and continued geopolitical uncertainty, pose downside risks looking forwards.

Markets Start To Trade An End To The Middle East Conflict
Markets Start To Trade An End To The Middle East Conflict

A combination of euphoria, exuberance, and relief has driven a considerable rebound in risk appetite over the last day or so, as hopes grow for a swift end to conflict in the Middle East.

Ceasefire Expectations Boost Gold Bulls, March NFP Could Trigger Volatility
Ceasefire Expectations Boost Gold Bulls, March NFP Could Trigger Volatility

Rising ceasefire expectations in the Middle East have fueled a rebound in gold, with prices breaking above the key $4,660 resistance level. However, geopolitical uncertainty remains, and markets are closely watching Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, which could act as a key catalyst for heightened volatility.

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