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Daily Market Thoughts

Trump Escalates Attacks, On The Fed & In Iran

Geopolitical events were in sharp focus over the weekend after US strikes on Iran, but President Trump had time to criticise the Fed again too. This week, a relatively light data docket awaits.

Senior Research Strategist

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S&P500 Trading Outlook (June 23, 2025) – Direction Defined by 5,917–6,040 Range

While the world watched the clear escalation of Middle East tensions through the weekend, the fallout in today’s broad markets reopening has been surprisingly well contained. Perhaps the greatest surprise is that gold trades modestly lower, and despite expectations that Brent crude would push and hold above $80, sellers emerged on the open, and crude now trades at $78.33 (+1.8%).

Head of Research

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Gold Outlook: Consolidation at Elevated Levels Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

Gold remains volatile amid Middle East tensions and mixed US data. Market eyes potential breakout near $3,450 as geopolitical and economic risks shape direction.

Research Strategist

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Fill rates are based on all trading data between 1-31 January 2025.