Dilin Wu
Research Strategist
Most recent articles
Gold Outlook: Price Clears $4,600 — Geopolitics, PCE, and Warsh's Speech in Focus
Gold surged 5.2% last week, clearing $4,600 and hitting a three-month high. The U.S. Treasury's expansion of medium- and long-term bond buybacks, combined with a weaker dollar and growing concerns about U.S. fiscal discipline, drove gold through resistance that had held for several months. This week, geopolitical developments, July PCE, and Warsh's address at Jackson Hole are the three key variables that will determine whether the rally can hold.
Anthropic's IPO Looms: Can a $2 Trillion Valuation Survive the Profitability Test?
Anthropic's IPO is entering its countdown phase and could become a key litmus test for AI sector valuations. Can rapid growth and a single quarter of profitability offset sky-high compute costs? Q3 and Q4 earnings performance will be the key to validating the $2 trillion price tag.
Gold Outlook: Bulls Target $4,400 Again — Jackson Hole Is the Real Test
Gold rose for a second consecutive week, with cooling inflation and central bank buying continuing to provide support — but geopolitical turbulence kept $4,400–$4,450 firmly in play as a key resistance zone. As September rate-hike expectations ease, market attention is shifting to the FOMC minutes and the Jackson Hole symposium, where Warsh's policy remarks could prove pivotal for gold's next move.
Gold Outlook: Bulls Break the Stalemate — CPI To Decide Whether the Rally Has Legs
Gold has broken out of a six-week range and cleared $4,300. Easing geopolitical tensions have taken some of the heat out of inflation fears, while a weak jobs report has further dented September rate-hike expectations — leaving gold's bullish momentum noticeably stronger. This week's July CPI will be the key test, and could determine whether the rally has room to run.
USDJPY Slides to 155: FX Intervention Lifts the Yen, but Rate Differentials Remain the Key Headwind
The yen has staged a strong rebound, with USDJPY falling from around 164 to the 155 region as markets reassess the impact of FX intervention. Still, tension remains between short-term policy action and longer-term fundamentals, and USDJPY's future direction will hinge largely on shifts in the US-Japan rate differential and signals from the two central banks.
Gold Outlook: Fed Holds, Hawks Speak Up — All Eyes on Payrolls
The Fed's biggest internal split since 2016 still left the rate path frustratingly unclear. Gold has been grinding between $4,000 and $4,200 for weeks, caught between rate expectations, dollar moves, and geopolitical headlines. This week, U.S.-Iran talks and Friday's nonfarm payrolls report could finally give the market something to trade.
HSI Leads the Global Pack: Chinese AI Repricing Drives the Rally, Earnings and Policy Hold the Key
The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has led major global benchmarks since late June, with the repricing of Chinese AI assets serving as a key driver. With earnings season approaching, whether AI profitability materializes and how the policy backdrop evolves may prove decisive for whether this rally can be sustained.
Gold Outlook: July FOMC Goes Live — All Eyes on Oil and Warsh
A pause in U.S.-Iran hostilities has pulled oil prices off their highs, but market expectations for a July Fed rate hike have picked up sharply. Gold remains rangebound, caught between shifting geopolitical dynamics and an increasingly uncertain rate path. This week, progress in Middle East talks, the Fed's rate decision, and Warsh's press conference could together determine whether gold can break out of its recent range.
US Q2 Earnings Season: Beyond the Mag 7
The Mag 7 dominates earnings season in the past, but something has shifted. The market is no longer asking whether AI demand is real. It's asking who's winning, who's losing, and how much upside is already priced in.
Tesla Q2 2026 Earnings Preview: Earnings Quality in the Short Term, AI Delivery in the Long Term
Earnings tell you about the performance, but AI tells you about the valuation. For Tesla, what really moves the stock this quarter may no longer be how many cars it sold, but whether the market is still willing to pay a premium for the future of its AI businesses — Robotaxi, FSD, and Optimus.
Gold Outlook: Geopolitical Conflict Weighs on Prices — $4,000 Is the Key Level to Watch
A cooling in U.S. June inflation briefly gave gold room to breathe, but escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and surging oil prices quickly reversed market sentiment. With the Fed entering its pre-meeting blackout period and little in the way of major data or policy signals this week, the Middle East situation could prove to be the dominant driver of gold's near-term price action — and $4,000 remains the most critical line in the sand.
US Q226 Earnings Season: Which Major Banks Report First and What to Watch
Six major US banks report earnings on 14–15 July. Five trade near record highs, but elevated expectations can cut both ways. Here's what to watch.
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1. Data for the Pepperstone Group, correct as at October 2025.