US–Iran Tensions Trigger Oil Spike as Brent Crude Tests Breakout Levels
Rising US–Iran war risks send Brent and WTI crude sharply higher. Explore Hormuz disruption risks, inflation implications, gold upside, and global market impact.
Lagarde Exit Chatter Sparks Succession Race & Heighten Politicisation Concerns
Reports of Christine Lagarde leaving the ECB early raise concerns over central bank independence, succession politics, and risks for the euro and EGBs.
January 2026 UK Inflation: A Big Step Down
This morning's UK inflation figures pointed to renewed disinflation as the year got underway.
Gold Consolidates Below 5,100 as Inflation Expectations & Fiscal Risks Ease
Gold has retreated from repeated failures at 5,100, as falling inflation expectations, improving fiscal optics, and rising real yields weigh on the debasement trade. Is gold setting up for range trading or deeper downside?
The UK Economy Faces A Litany Of Downside Risks
The UK economy is weakening rapidly, with rising unemployment, easing inflation and mounting fiscal risks pointing to downside for the GBP and for long-end Gilts.
December 2025 UK Jobs Report: Grim Reading
This morning's UK employment report pointed to the labour market backdrop having remained weak as 2025 drew to a close, and made for rather grim reading.
Walmart (WMT) Q4 26 Earnings Preview: How Consumer Segmentation & AI Fuel Its $1T Market Cap
Walmart (WMT) reports Q4 FY26 earnings on Feb 19. With a $1T market cap and 47x P/E, investors assess growth quality, AI gains, and valuation sustainability.”
BHP Surges to Record High as 1H26 Earnings Beat Drives Copper-Led Re-Rating
BHP shares jump 7.7% to record highs after a strong 1H26 earnings beat, upgraded copper guidance, and earlier Vicuna cash flow boost outlook.
Markets Remain Rangebound As Noise Drowns Out Signal
Rising political volatility and sector shifts mask a simple reality: stocks, the dollar and government bonds have barely moved in months.
Gold Outlook: Price Stalled at $5,100, Focus on Geopolitics and Tariff Updates
Gold trades in a high range near $5,100 as easing inflation, geopolitical risks and central bank buying support prices, while strong US jobs cap gains.
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook: Themes and Risks to Navigate Global Markets
We lay out a comprehensive traders’ week ahead playbook covering US macro data, earnings, central bank risk, Japan flows, ASX200 reporting season and key FX drivers. Identify the themes and risks shaping equities, bonds, commodities and currencies.
January 2026 US CPI: Disinflation Continues But Fed Remain In ‘Wait & See’ Mode
Headline US CPI printed cooler than expected in January, while core goods prices rose at their slowest pace in six months, implying the peak of tariff-induced inflation could be behind us. Regardless, the FOMC are set to maintain their ‘wait and see’ approach for the time being.
Q4 25 UK GDP Review: Growth Remains Sluggish
This morning's UK GDP data pointed to growth having proved weaker than expected as 2025 grew to a close.
January 2026 US Employment Report: Keeping The Fed In ‘Wait & See’ Mode
The January US jobs report came in considerably hotter than expected, in both the establishment and household surveys, keeping the Fed on hold for the time being.
JPY & JGBs Firm On Fragile Belief In Fiscal Discipline
Japan’s post-election calm has eased pressure on JGBs and the yen, but markets remain sceptical that fiscal discipline and FX stability can coexist.
Gold Outlook: Price Hovers Around $5,000 as Nonfarm Payrolls and Geopolitics Take Center Stage
Gold remains in a consolidation pattern, with $5,000 as a key level. Geopolitical risks, central bank buying, and a softer dollar provide support, while this week’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls, CPI, and U.S.-Iran talks could break the sideways trend.
Renewed Political Turmoil Brings Fresh Downside Risks For Gilts And The GBP
Renewed instability in UK politics is driving underperformance in Gilts and the pound, as markets reassess Labour leadership risk and the fiscal outlook.
Stocks Wobble But Bull Case Still Holds Water
While stocks have slipped, resilient growth, strong earnings and supportive policy suggest recent dips are buying opportunities, not warning signs.