US Dollar Breakout: Safe Haven Flows, Rising Yields and America’s Energy Edge Drive USD Buying
The US dollar outperforms G10 currencies as oil prices rise and geopolitical tensions escalate. Discover how safe haven flows, higher Treasury yields and America’s energy dominance are driving USD strength.
Geopolitical Events Dominate The Narrative: Energy & Off Ramps The Key Areas To Watch
Markets have reverted to the classic risk-off playbook as Middle East hostilities continue, with focus on oil supply and de-escalation risks.
Gold Outlook: Risk Premiums Rise Amid Middle East Tensions, Market Watches for News-Driven Reactions
The sudden escalation in the Middle East triggered a gap-up in gold, lifting the risk premium, though the sustainability of buying pressure remains uncertain. Traders should monitor developments in diplomatic talks and the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, while managing risk and position sizing carefully.
A Traders' Playbook: Brent Crude, S&P 500, Gold and Key Event Risks in the Week Ahead
Markets open the week in a measured risk off tone, with volatility concentrated in oil. Analysis of Brent crude, S&P 500, gold, FX flows and key macro events including US payrolls and RBA expectations.
How to trade oil in the UK
Explore the benefits and risks, understand the types of oil traded, and discover strategies for integrating macroeconomic analysis. Gain insights into key market factors, the impact of OPEC, and how to start trading oil using CFDs.
FX Volatility Could Be Set To Stay Subdued
FX markets remain rangebound with realised and implied vol near lows, even as policy divergence and geopolitical risk build beneath the surface.
Nvidia Earnings Beat Expectations but Shares Slide as AI Concerns Linger & Investors Want More
Nvidia delivered a major earnings beat and strong guidance, yet shares sold off sharply. We examine competition risks, AI CapEx concerns, and why GTC could be the next key catalyst.
2026 Spring Statement: A Low-Key Affair
Having pledged to deliver just one major fiscal event a year, it is perhaps no surprise that the Government, and Chancellor Reeves, are seeking to make next Tuesday’s ‘Spring Statement’ as much of a non-event as possible.
US Equity Trading Dynamics In An Environment With A 'Political Put'
A growing ‘political put’ could be distorting market return distributions, raising complacency and increasing downside tail risk.
UK Political Risks May Soon Resurface
Political risks have never been too far away for UK-based market participants for almost a decade now, even if the degree of said risk has ebbed and flowed over time. As the week comes to a close, said risks are likely to again come back to the forefront of participants’ minds.
Indiscriminate Tech Selling Suggests A Degree Of Irrationality
The technology sector, and software names in particular, have taken a battering in recent weeks, as participants appear to grow increasingly concerned that rapid advances in the AI space will erode the competitive advantage that these companies have long possessed.
AI Disruption Fear Slams IBM: Claude Code Challenges Profit Model
On February 23, IBM’s stock plummeted more than 13% in a single day. The market is concerned that Anthropic’s Claude Code tool could disrupt traditional COBOL service revenue, potentially triggering a broader reassessment of profitability across the tech sector.
Equities To Continue Climbing A ‘Wall Of Worry’
Trade uncertainty, AI capex concerns and geopolitics dominate headlines, but fundamentals suggest equities can continue grinding higher.
Gold Outlook: Bulls Break $5,100 as Tariffs and Geopolitical Risks Continue to Drive
Gold breaks above $5,100, reinforcing the short-term bullish structure. Rising U.S. tariff uncertainty and escalating U.S.–Iran tensions are boosting safe-haven demand. Short-term support lies at $5,100/$5,000, with resistance near $5,200. Traders remain closely attentive to policy and geopolitical developments.
Global Markets Weekly Outlook: Tariff Fallout, Crude Oil and Nvidia Earnings
Markets face a pivotal week with Trump tariff policy shifts, rising Iran tensions, Fed speakers, Australia CPI data and Nvidia earnings driving volatility across equities, crude oil, gold and the US dollar.
Supreme Court Strikes Down IEEPA Tariffs
The Supreme Court have, today, largely as expected, struck down the President’s authority to impose tariffs using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA).
The FOMC’s Next Move Won’t Be A Hike Despite Hawkish January Minutes
Minutes from the January FOMC meeting leaned hawkish, though amid downside labour market risks, and continued disinflationary progress, the direction of travel for the fed funds rate is still downwards.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q4 26 Preview: Data Center Remains Strong, Three Key Risks to Watch
NVIDIA’s data center business remains the core growth engine, but rising competition, China market uncertainties, and cash flow pressures merit attention.