Dilin Wu
Research Strategist
Most recent articles
Alibaba Q1 FY27 earnings preview
The market expects Alibaba's profitability to come under clear pressure this quarter, even as analyst ratings lean almost unanimously bullish. With the stock having rallied sharply in recent months, the real focus for traders isn't this quarter's numbers — it's whether AI and cloud can start turning heavy capex into growth the market can actually verify.
Gold outlook: bulls break the stalemate
Gold has broken out of a six-week range and cleared $4,300. Easing geopolitical tensions have taken some of the heat out of inflation fears, while a weak jobs report has further dented September rate-hike expectations — leaving gold's bullish momentum noticeably stronger. This week's July CPI will be the key test, and could determine whether the rally has room to run.
USD/JPY slides to 155 as FX intervention lifts the yen
The yen has staged a strong rebound, with USDJPY falling from around 164 to the 155 region as markets reassess the impact of FX intervention. Still, tension remains between short-term policy action and longer-term fundamentals, and USDJPY's future direction will hinge largely on shifts in the US-Japan rate differential and signals from the two central banks.
Gold outlook: Fed holds, hawks speak up
The Fed's biggest internal split since 2016 still left the rate path frustratingly unclear. Gold has been grinding between $4,000 and $4,200 for weeks, caught between rate expectations, dollar moves, and geopolitical headlines. This week, U.S.-Iran talks and Friday's nonfarm payrolls report could finally give the market something to trade.
Gold outlook: jobs miss fuels the rally
Gold has snapped a seven-week losing streak, with soft nonfarm payrolls and a subtle shift in the Fed's hawkish tone igniting a recovery against a backdrop of steady central bank buying. Inflation concerns haven't gone away and rate-hike expectations remain on the table. July 14 — when CPI and Warsh's congressional testimony land on the same day — could prove to be the real turning point.
Bitcoin falls below $60k: three variables to watch
Bitcoin has broken below $60,000 for the third time this year, as a hawkish Fed pivot, pressure on Strategy's financing model, and seven consecutive weeks of ETF outflows erode bullish support one pillar at a time.
Gold Outlook: Geopolitics and Rate Expectations Drive Price Action, $4,660 as Key Pivot
Amid uncertain geopolitical developments and a hawkish shift in rate expectations, gold volatility has risen, with $4,660 potentially serving as a short-term pivot. This week, traders will closely monitor Middle East developments, the FOMC minutes, and March U.S. CPI data, which could steer near-term gold movements.
Crude Oil Hits New Lows: Oversupply Pressure Keeps Short-Term Gains Out of Reach
Oil continues to fall, with Brent dropping below $60 and WTI hitting 2021 lows. Global oversupply, weak demand, and easing geopolitical risks weigh on prices, keeping the short-term market outlook clearly bearish.
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*Data for the Pepperstone Group, correct as at October 2025.