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Commodities are the lifeblood of our economies; they are integral to our infrastructure, our communications, energy and power, food, clothing, and much more. As such commodity markets are an essential part of modern life.
They are traded by producers, consumers and end users, speculative traders and investors, around the world.
Nearly all commodity contracts (the name given to the standardised units in which commodities trade) are deliverable.
That is, the buyer must be able to take delivery of the underlying commodity, at the conclusion of the contract, and the seller must be able to make that delivery.
However, in practice, it’s usually only commercial traders and end users who take delivery of the underlying commodity. Speculators typically trade out of their positions or roll them forward well before delivery is due.
Most retail traders trade commodities using non-deliverable, cash-settled CFDs (Contracts for Difference).
Commodity prices fluctuate based on factors, such as supply and demand, geopolitics, the weather, the strength or weakness of key currencies, and macroeconomic data.
Those price movements can be sharp and sustained, which makes commodity trading an attractive proposition for speculators, however, it is not without its risks.
Commodities can be divided into two main groups, known as hard and soft.
Hard commodities include things like copper, nickel, gold, oil and gas, and other industrial materials.
Whilst the soft commodities include foodstuffs and ingredients, such as cocoa, coffee, wheat, corn, and soya. As well as cotton, lumber and livestock.
Dealing in commodities allows you to diversify your trading away from equities and FX and into these largely uncorrelated markets.
Trading commodities means you can take a view on the global economy, geopolitics, and demand.
At a macro or top-down level.
That’s because commodity prices are often the first to react to breaking news and world events.
More than any other markets, commodity prices are driven by supply and demand. The deliverable nature of the underlying contracts means commodity prices can be extremely volatile.
For example, between April 2023 and April 2024, cocoa prices rallied by +285.0%, according to data from Trading Economics. Commodities can be subject to short squeezes or extreme oversupply, each having a direct and immediate effect on prices.
A notable example is the price of European Natural Gas (TTF), which jumped by more than +400.0% between June and mid-August 2022 due to global gas supply constraints following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Leveraged contracts, such as commodity CFDs, are powerful tools for traders but can magnify losses as easily as they can profit if not used correctly.
Commodity prices are influenced by a wide variety of factors.
However, two of the most influential of these are geopolitics and seasonality.
Geopolitical events can rapidly alter the supply and demand dynamics of commodities, as demonstrated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which directly affected the price of oil and gas.
The conflict in Gaza has deterred many major shipping lines from accessing the Suez Canal, driving up the cost of transporting commodities from the Asia-Pacific region to end markets in Europe.
Seasonal factors such as the weather can directly affect the price of agricultural commodities and foodstuffs.
Cold snaps, heatwaves, too little, or too much rain, can all hamper crop production, crop yields and harvests.
Disease and pestilence are other seasonal factors that can create volatility in soft commodity prices, especially those of crops and livestock.
Diversification is one of the main attractions of commodity trading because commodities such as gold move independently of equity and bond markets.
Traders and money managers will often add precious metals and other commodities to their portfolios for this very reason.
Traditionally gold is seen as a store of value and hedge against inflation, as such it acts as a safe haven in times of crisis.
Margin trading allows you to take larger positions in the commodity markets than your account balance would otherwise permit. In margin trading, your broker leverages the money in your trading account.
For example, if you have $500 in your account and you trade a commodity with 10-times leverage offered by your broker, you could control a position worth up to $5,000, which is 10 times the value of your $500 account balance.
To achieve this leverage, your broker effectively lends you the difference between your initial margin or deposit and the notional value of your trade.
To open and maintain a margin trading position, you will need the funds to meet the initial deposit requirement, as well as additional funds to cover any running losses or variation margin in the position while it's open. If you do not have sufficient funds in your account to cover any running losses on your open positions, you will face a margin call and could be closed out.
This is why correct position sizing and having the right number of positions open relative to your account size is crucial in margin trading.
If you keep a trade open overnight, you will incur funding or interest charges on the notional value of the trade. However, depending on when the charges are applied, there may be no funding charges on trades that are opened and closed on the same business day.
Please note that margin or leverage rates vary between products and regulatory jurisdictions.
How do I effectively use leverage in commodity trading?
You can use the leverage available in commodity trading to increase your exposure to the markets and to create heightened returns from your profitable trades.
For example, a +10.0% move on a leveraged position worth $5,000 would result in a P&L swing of $500. Whereas, the same move in an unleveraged position of $500 notional would create a P&L swing of just $50.
Conversely, a -10.0% move in a leveraged long position with a notional value of $5,000 would result in a P&L swing of -$500. However, the same move in an unleveraged position of $500 notional would create a P&L swing of just -$50.
Leverage in commodity trading should be used sparingly; you should not overtrade by, for example, leveraging your entire account balance on one trade.
To use leverage successfully, you need to have a disciplined approach to risk and reward, money management, and trade sizing.
Commodities are largely priced in US dollars, and the strength or weakness of the dollar directly affects the value of commodities. A stronger US dollar tends to depress prices, while a weaker US dollar can lift commodity prices. Traders can take advantage of this relationship by selling commodities when the dollar is strong and buying commodities when the dollar weakens. However, it is important to note that there are other factors that can affect the pricing of commodities, such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and economic indicators.
Traders also often buy or sell gold based on the mood of the stock and bond markets. If equity traders are feeling “Risk-Off,” they are likely to sell stocks and buy safe havens, such as precious metals, theoretically pushing their prices higher. Conversely, if markets are in a “Risk-On” mood, traders will be selling safe havens and jumping back into riskier assets like stocks, and against that background, gold prices are likely to fall.
While these are common strategies, there are always additional factors that can influence the price of commodities, making it crucial for traders to stay informed and consider a wide range of variables in their decision-making process.
Sentiment analysis can play an important role in commodity trading. However, unlike other markets that focus on analysing social media posts and commentary, commodity traders primarily rely on positioning reports to gauge market sentiment.
The most important of these, the Commitment of Traders or CoT report, is published each Friday by the US CFTC or Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
The report provides a breakdown of the open positions in US futures markets held by specific groups of traders, as of the close of business, on the previous Tuesday.
Changes in those positions can shed light on what large speculators or commercial commodity traders think about commodity markets and may help to identify emerging trends within those markets.
Commodity traders aim to make profits from trading commodities. They take long or short positions in commodities such as oil, coffee, copper, wheat, and sugar, hoping to benefit from shifts in the underlying prices.
If they have sold a commodity short, they will look to buy back that short position at a lower price than their entry level. Conversely, if they have a long position, they aim to sell that position at a higher price to make a profit.
However, if the price moves against the trader and they close their position at a less favourable price than their entry level, they will incur a loss.
To start trading commodities, you could look to open and fund an account with a broker such as Pepperstone, where you can trade commodities using CFDs.
Examples of commodities are all around us. They are things that we consume daily, like coffee, tea, sugar, petrol, or gasoline and coal.
Indeed most raw materials and foodstuffs can be thought of as commodities.
Commodities are the raw materials and foodstuffs we use every day.
While stocks are shares in limited companies, the ownership of which provides stockholders with a share in the profits of that company.
Commodities are traded on futures exchanges, whilst stocks and shares trade on dedicated stock exchanges.
Commodity futures have a finite lifespan, whereas stocks trade for as long as a company remains listed on a stock exchange.
Commodity trading can indeed be profitable. However, it also carries the potential for generating losses. Profits depend on your ability to spot opportunities and execute trades correctly, while maintaining a disciplined approach to trade sizing, risk management, and money management.
If you don’t adopt a disciplined approach, commodity trading can become unprofitable. Misusing leverage, overtrading, trading emotionally, and ignoring money and risk management principles can lead to significant losses.
Commodity CFDs are leveraged, cash-settled contracts on commodity prices.
They allow traders to speculate on the rise and fall of commodity prices, without the need to take ownership or make delivery of the underlying.
Pepperstone offers commodity trading through CFDs on multiple platforms including cTrader, MT4/MT5, and the popular charting tool TradingView.
These trading platforms are available on desktops or as mobile trading apps
Gold is seen as a safe haven and a hedge against rampant inflation, because, unlike paper currencies, physical gold can’t simply be printed by governments or central banks.
Money tends to flow into gold, and other precious metals, in times of economic crisis, and those flows can push up the price of gold, platinum, silver etc.
Of course market dynamics can change and gold may not always act as an effective hedge against inflation, or as a store value in times of crisis.
More recently cryptocurrencies have been seen by some as a possible hedge against inflationary pressures in traditional markets. Though cryptocurrencies carry a much higher degree of risk than gold.
Demand for specific commodities varies and is often driven by economic growth, geopolitics and seasonal effects. The demand for oil and gas, and their refined products, is probably the most consistent.
However, this may change in the long term as alternative sources of energy become more popular.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.