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The USD; a magical currency that has the wind to its back
The momentum is to the USDs back and there are multiple core tailwinds supporting the dollars investment case. I would argue that the USD has become somewhat of a magical currency, where we’re seeing safe-haven flows, as well as a cyclical element, where US data has recently been better than feared.
RBNZ U-Turn Dents The Kiwi Dollar
In rapid, and unexpected, fashion, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) have pivoted from being one of the most hawkish G10 central banks, to one of the most dovish. Subsequently, the Kiwi dollar has lurched sharply lower, as the rates curve underwent a dovish repricing, and front-end New Zealand bonds rallied hard.
Catastrophic CPI Poses BoE and GBP A Headache
The April UK inflation report poses yet another headache for the embattled Bank of England in their ongoing losing battle against spiralling prices. A further acceleration in core inflation, coupled with a slower than expected deceleration in the headline rate, has led markets to aggressively reprice the UK rates curve in a hawkish direction, though has thus far failed to provide the pound with much support.
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*Fill rates are based on all trades data between 01/01/2023 and 31/03/2023
*All spreads are generated from data between 01/04/2023 and 30/04/2023